Happy 2014 from JiC (Plus Predictions)!

Posted on January 6, 2014 by Mark Kersten

fireworks-wallpapers-fireworks-blue-hd-pics-1Dear readers,

Happy New Years!

2013 brought a host of fascinating developments in the world of international criminal justice. With around a 100 posts, our regular contributors, guest-posters and I myself tried to cover as much as we could and provide thoughtful commentaries. We look forward to doing the same in 2014.

To ring in the new year, here are five predictions (some more plausible than others) for 2014:

– The ICC will open its first official investigation outside of the African continent. It will ruffle the feathers of Western powers, but the Court’s investigations will be restricted enough not to make them sweat.

– Joseph Kony will remain elusive. There may be reports of “surrender talks” or perhaps even his death but he will not be captured.

– Another Libyan will be indicted by the ICC and Libya will not have any issue with it. But, when 2015 rolls around, Saif al-Islam Gaddafi will still not have been tried and the ICC’s Office of the Prosecutor will not have any issue with it.

– Not only will the Court not intervene in Syria, but no resolution at the UN Security Council will be proposed to refer the situation there to the ICC.

– I will finish my PhD.

What are your predictions?

Thank you all, as always, for your readership and contributions. Here’s to another year of a little more justice and a little less conflict!

Mark

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About Mark Kersten

Mark Kersten is an Assistant Professor in the Criminology and Criminal Justice Department at the University of the Fraser Valley in British Columbia, Canada, and a Senior Consultant at the Wayamo Foundation in Berlin, Germany. Mark is the founder of the blog Justice in Conflict and author of the book, published by Oxford University Press, by the same name. He holds an MSc and PhD in International Relations from the London School of Economics and a BA (Hons) from the University of Guelph. Mark has previously been a Research Associate at the Refugee Law Project in Uganda, and as researcher at Justice Africa and Lawyers for Justice in Libya in London. He has taught courses on genocide studies, the politics of international law, transitional justice, diplomacy, and conflict and peace studies at the London School of Economics, SOAS, and University of Toronto. Mark’s research has appeared in numerous academic fora as well as in media publications such as The Globe and Mail, Al Jazeera, BBC, Foreign Policy, the CBC, Toronto Star, and The Washington Post. He has a passion for gardening, reading, hockey (on ice), date nights, late nights, Lego, and creating time for loved ones.
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2 Responses to Happy 2014 from JiC (Plus Predictions)!

  1. Yael Vias Gvirsman's avatar Yael Vias Gvirsman says:
    January 7, 2014 at 12:04 pm

    Dear Mark,

    Thanks for your predictions. Interesting! I hope the ICC will have justice in mind when acting and when using its jurisdiction. I hope States will give it the possibility to do so. I also hope to finish my PhD this year (or at latest in 2015 :)).
    Very best of luck and please do keep posting this interesting blog!

    Yael

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