Sergey Vasiliev joins JiC for this guest-post on the future of the Office of the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court. Sergey is an Assistant Professor at the Department of Criminal Law & Amsterdam Center for International Law, University of Amsterdam.
OTP transition in context
The world that the ICC will be navigating as its third Prosecutor makes a solemn undertaking in 2021 will be a less hospitable place than it was in 2012 when the current holder of the office commenced her mandate. The era of ‘global cosmopolitanism’ to which international criminal justice has owed its revival and ascent since early 1990s is a matter of nostalgic past. Even before the current pandemic crisis, the international climate was hardly conducive to multilateral projects; it will likely get even less so. As States Parties attend to more pressing matters, their commitment to the Court is pushed to the side and seemingly on the wane. The sluggishness and paucity of reactions (11 by my count) to the US Secretary of State Pompeo’s latest series of insults against the ICC and threats to OTP staff and their families may indicate as much.
Time will show whether this dynamics can be reversed. But there is no doubt that the incoming Prosecutor will be facing skyrocketing expectations and diverging demands as well as political and operational challenges of a different magnitude than nine years ago – without a commensurate growth in resources and political backing. OTP 3.0 will need to step up its investigative and prosecutorial game across situations (which are likely to multiply) while reckoning on no more than nominal or lukewarm support by States Parties at best — and having to put up with their foot-dragging and recalcitrance at worst. It will also be expected to make headway in the ‘no-go’ situations of Georgia, Afghanistan and possibly Ukraine and Palestine; all implicating major powers and their satellites from among states not party which are hostile to the Court.
To wade its course in these perilous waters, the Office will need all the resilience, courage, and creativity it can muster. It would be amiss to discard the ‘lessons learned’ over the past eighteen years, although that experience is no silver bullet to overcome the obstacles the Prosecutor will face; nor should it fetter the maneuverability that mission requires. The incoming principal should not only build upon whatever warrants preservation in the Office but also apply surgical solutions to spearhead the necessary changes. The key task will be to strike the right balance between continuity and renewal in OTP structure, strategies, practices, and culture. The only transition in the Office so far provides limited experiential knowledge for the third Prosecutor to fall back on. In due course, the ongoing Independent Expert Review will offer some guidance as part of its work on issues within Clusters 1 and 3. The lessons that can be gleaned from the OTP’s second term will certainly prove instructive.
OTP 2.0: Continuity…
In some respects, continuity has been the OTP’s default modality during the second Prosecutor’s tenure. Consider the continuity of case docket and of staff, which are interrelated variables. Before she took the helm of the Office, between 2004 and 2012, Fatou Bensouda served as Prosecutor Moreno Ocampo’s Deputy in charge of prosecutions. As such, she played an important role in strategic planning and decision-making during that period. This is when some of the ‘problem cases’, which would later come to haunt her office as ‘failures’, materialized: Kenyan cases (charges withdrawn or no case to answer acquittal), Bemba (acquittal on appeal), and Gbagbo and Blé Goudé (no case to answer acquittal; appeal pending). Although it is said sometimes that Bensouda ‘inherited’ them from her predecessor, it is more accurate to see them as being as much of her own.
Other than the Katanga (controversial) conviction, much of the first half of the Bensouda term was consumed by the unraveling of the Kenyan cases and ultimately futile attempts to salvage them; the second half was marked by the high-profile acquittals of Bemba and Gbagbo and Blé Goudé. To balance this off, one should mention the convictions of Al Mahdi and Ntaganda (appeal pending), as well as the recently completed Ongwen and the ongoing Al Hassan and the Yekatom and Ngaïssona trials – the cases which with the exception of Ntaganda and Ongwen can be ascribed exclusively to Bensouda’s tenure. Otherwise, as others noted, the Office under her tenure brought only a few cases to the Court. It is not that Bensouda’s Office stuck to her predecessor’s formula positing the lack of cases at the ICC as a measure of its success. Rather, the ‘too few cases’ critique should acknowledge that this was not for the lack of trying. Several cases she initiated—e.g. Mudacumura (DRC) and Khaled and Al Werfalli (Libya)—did not progress further due to States’ failure to arrest and surrender suspects.
That said, the fact remains that OTP 2.0’s docket has consisted largely of cases arising from the first term. Concomitantly, OTP 2.0 has been characterized by a high degree of staff continuity vis-à-vis the first-term OTP. The time after Bensouda assumed office was opportune for carrying out a comprehensive internal review of the OTP strategy and evidence in the ongoing cases. A critical appraisal of the organizational structures and competence levels of the senior OTP staff should have also taken place. However, that does not appear to have happened. This personnel policy served to reinforce the OTP’s ‘path dependency’ in respect of the investigative and prosecutorial approaches which had been adopted in those cases. While it is true that new highly competent and committed staff members were recruited into all of the three Divisions, many on the senior and intermediate management level continued serving in their positions or were promoted. While being perhaps a special case, it is notable that the Head of the Investigation Division has occupied this position since 2006. Continue reading










