China, the ICC and Libya: A New Level of Hypocrisy?

China protest

Chinese authorities have cracked down on protests inspired by the 'Jasmine Revolution' (Photo: Reuters)

Perhaps the most surprising element of UN Security Council Resolution 1970 (2011), which referred the situation in Libya to the ICC, was that it was supported unanimously. There is chatter on the blogosphere wondering where the African Union, which in recent months had vociferously derided the ICC for its arrest warrant against Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir, stands. But what about China? After all is it not somewhat shocking that China, ever protective of its domestic status quo, voted in support of the Council’s Resolution?

Let’s take a look at the relationship between the ICC and China.

During the Court’s lifetime, China’s relationship with the ICC has shifted between prickly and productive. China, of course, is not a member state and it was one of only four states to vote against the Rome Statute in 1998. China has had significant disagreements with the Court over various issues, including the definitions of crimes under its mandate, the role of the UN Security Council, the powers of the Court’s Prosecutor, as well as its jurisdiction. Many of its dissenting views have been reconciled with the notable exception of its fear that the Court could become a political tool. In this context, China has been a vehement supporter of deferring the arrest warrant of Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir and has actively stifled attempts by the Security Council to pressure Khartoum over crimes committed in Darfur.  It is worth noting that in the case of UN Security Council Resolution 1593, which referred the situation in Darfur to the ICC, China abstained, allowing the vote to pass, but without any overt expression of support for it.

Despite these contentious issues, not everything about Chinese-ICC relations has been doom-and-gloom. China participated actively in the negotiations leading up to the adoption of the ICC’s Rome Statute and has been an engaged partner in the ICC’s Assembly of States Parties since 2002. Not only has it been engaged with the Court, but it has, on occasion, voiced impressive political support for the Court. While this may come as a surprise to many, China has even suggested that its accession to member-state status is a realistic possibility. It wouldn’t be absurd to argue that, in fact, China’s relationship with the ICC has historically been much more engaged and positive than that of the US. In 2002, when the Rome Statute came into force and the Bush administration, eager to prove its opposition to the Court, ‘unsigned’ the Rome Statute, China declared that:

“If the operation of the court could bring to justice all those individuals who have perpetrated most serious international crimes, this would not only help build confidence in international justice, but will also ultimately contribute to the maintenance of international peace and security. This is the outcome we fervently hope for.”

Gaddafi Justice

China voted in favour of the Resolution to refer the situation in Libya to the ICC (Photo: Zimbio.com)

Interestingly, China thus reaffirms the view that the Court plays a role in the constellation of institutions that contribute to international peace and security.

A year later, China again voiced its political support for the Court as well as its desire to actively work to ensure its success, at the Sixth Committee of the General Assembly:

“What we hope to see is that before long, an independent and just international judicial body that truly commands respect will emerge to play an important and positive role on the international stage. China is ready to work tirelessly with other countries towards this end.”

This brings us to the Council’s referral of the situation in Libya to the ICC. Fearing that it would set a precedent, China was the only country which initially rejected the ICC referral entirely. While it shifted its position after the Libyan envoy to the UN wrote a letter to the Council, only after consulting with Beijing did the Chinese delegation finally decide to vote in support of the referral.

Resolution 1970 notes that:

“China was very much concerned about the situation in Libya.  The greatest urgency was to cease the violence, to end the bloodshed and civilian casualties, and to resolve the crisis through peaceful means, such as dialogue.  The safety and interest of the foreign nationals in Libya must be assured.  Taking into account the special circumstances in Libya, the Chinese delegation had voted in favour of the resolution.”

Continue reading

Posted in China, Human Rights, International Criminal Court (ICC), Libya, Sudan, UN Security Council | 1 Comment

Picture This: The ICC Trial of a “Delusional” Gaddafi

Gaddafi. (Photo: izismile.com)Today we get the news that an American diplomat has called Libyan President Muammar Gaddafi “delusional”. That makes enough sense. Gaddafi has denied that virtually anything bad is in Libya, playing a game of “if I can’t see it, it doesn’t exist.”

Earlier this week, the UN Security Council referred the situation in Libya to the International Criminal Court. In the next few days, the Court’s chief Prosecutor, Luis Moreno-Ocampo will decide whether or not to open a full investigation into events in Libya since February 15 2011.

So here’s the question: what would a trial of a delusional soul like Gaddafi look like?

Human rights trials, or war crimes trials as they are also referred to, have had their share of claims bordering on the absurd. In the last years of the trial against Slobodan Milosevic at the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia [ICTY], the former Serbian leader was overcome by paranoia. In one letter to Sergei Lavrov, the Russian Foreign Minister, Milosevic wrote:

“[The ICTY] would like to poison me. I’m seriously concerned and worried…I am writing you and asking you for help in the protecting for the criminal activities being perpetrated in the institution operating under the sign of the United Nations.”

Liberian warlord Charles Taylor, who is on trial at the Special Court for Sierra Leone for some of the most horrendous crimes committed against civilians, has stated that he is a man of humanity and not a murderer or terrorist:

“It is quite incredible that such descriptions of me would come about. Very, very, very unfortunate that the prosecution — because of this information, misinformation, lies, rumors — would associate me with such titles or descriptions…I am a father of 14 children, grandchildren, with love for humanity.”

In a similar vein, Gaddafi responded to a BBC reporter’s question about protests against the regime in Libya that:

“No-one is against us. Against us for what? Because I’m not a president. They love me. All my people are with me, they love me all. They will die to protect me, my people.”

I think that it is fair to say that if – and it remains a big if – Gaddafi is ever brought to the ICC to stand trial, he will be the single most delusional character brought in front of an international tribunal in modern history since Rudolf Hess, the Nazi official who stood trial at the Nuremberg Trials despite being mentally unstable.

So what would a trial of Gaddafi look like?

I decided to have a little fun, so please remember that this is not, in any way, intended to trivialize recent events in Libya.

Based on his recent interviews with the BBC and other Western media, an interrogation could look like this:

Prosecutor: As the leader of Libya…

Gaddafi: [interrupts] I am not the leader of Libya! Is the Queen the leader of England? Also, the Queen of England has been in power much longer than I have…

Continue reading

Posted in Human Rights, Humour, ICTY, International Criminal Court (ICC), Libya, UN Security Council | 4 Comments

Did the UN Security Council Just Outsource Peace in Libya to the ICC?

Gaddafi UN Security Council

Libyan President Gaddafi may very well come under investigation of the ICC (Photo: Globe and Mail)

Is it possible that the UN Security Council referral of the situation in Libya to ICC was an act of outsourcing responsibility for peace?

In the peace-justice debate, some critics of the ICC go so far as to argue that the Court is responsible for peace. These claims unnecessarily muddle a prescient debate. There are no doubt important claims that need examining, including whether the inclusion of judicial processes has helped or hindered peace processes to end conflicts. Yet, these critics misunderstand the role justice can play in conflict situations. It may be, however, that many critics are simply reacting to the rhetoric of the Court’s staunchest proponents who declare that “there is no peace without justice.”

Proponents of the ICC often presume that the Court is God’s gift to peace. Expectations often get out of hand. There are limits to what law can – and indeed should – do. As Rachel Kerr and Eirin Mobekk argue, trials “need to be carefully assessed in light of what the tribunals can do, rather than what some have argued they should do.” Expecting that the ICC or any tribunal can be responsible for both peace and justice may simply be unrealistic. It is obvious that the proponents of the ICC are very excited about the prospects of investigating crimes in Libya. They have a right to be so. I agree with Kevin Jon Heller at Opinio Juris who writes: “the referral seems a wholly appropriate response to the unconscionable violence perpetrated by Gaddafi and his henchmen against Libya’s civilian population.” But expectations about what the ICC can do need to be tempered. It is important to remember that the ICC has not yet decided that it will open an official investigation into events in Libya (see a post by Heller on this subject here)

Whatever the debate, the ICC isn’t the UN Security Council. It isn’t responsible for peace and security.

ICC Libya

ICC Prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo has spoken of a difference between the interests of peace and the interests of justice (Photo: Elespectador)

While many side with the view that no international institution is, or possibly can be, beyond the pale of politics, the ICC clearly views its judicial work as apolitical. In a 2007 policy paper, Luis Moreno-Ocampo, the Court’s Chief Prosecutor wrote that “there is a difference between the concepts of the interests of justice and the interests of peace and…[the] matter of international peace and security is not the responsibility of the Prosecutor; it falls within the mandate of other institutions.”

This is not to defend the Court but rather to understand its place in the constellation of institutions involved in conflicts. In this context, it remains problematic to apportion blame or praise for the success or failure of peace in Darfur – or anywhere – on the ICC. Doing so presumes that the Court is a fundamentally political institution responsible for peace. In the case of Darfur, despite declaring that it would “remain seized of the matter,” it appears that the UN Security Council, in referring Darfur to the ICC, placed the burden of responsibility for peace on the Court.

Could this happen again with Libya?

Continue reading

Posted in Balkans, International Criminal Court (ICC), Libya, Sudan, UN Security Council | 5 Comments

Libya Referred to the ICC – Initial Thoughts

Gaddafi ICC

Could Gaddafi find himself in a Hague Courtroom? (Photo: Guardian)

The situation in Libya has been referred to the ICC by the UN Security Council. Much talk was made of international justice in Arab states in recent weeks. No doubt many are celebrating the impressive commitment the UN Security Council has made. Along with the referral, the Council agreed to impose an arms embargo, asset freeze and travel ban on Gaddafi, his family members and close aides.

In response to suggestions that the situation in Libya could be brought to the Court, Luis-Moreno Ocampo, the ICC’s Prosecutor, last week declared that “[t]he decision to do justice in Libya should be taken by the Libyan people” and that either Libya would need to become a state party to the Rome Statute or the situation would have to be referred from the UN Security Council in order for the ICC to investigate. Yesterday, the Security Council did just that. Libya becomes the sixth situation under full investigation by the ICC – Uganda, Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Central African Republic and Kenya are the others.

Some interesting initial issues/challenges to note about this development:

The referral was unanimous despite a significant number of non-ICC state parties on the Security Council, including India, China and Russia. For supporters of the ICC and international criminal justice, this is quite an impressive feat. The ICC has been going through some rather difficult times in recent months. Both on a political level and in the current cases being heard, many have expressed concerns. Just last month the Economist published a piece with the title: “The ICC and Africa: Dim Prospects“. However you break it down, the referral of the Libyan crisis to the ICC is powerful evidence that there is still a belief amongst the international community that the ICC remains an important international institution. More importantly, the momentum and level of international support for justice in Libya makes the arrest and future trial of Gaddafi a distinct possibility. The extent to which that would be a victory for international justice and its proponents cannot be understated. Nevertheless, as William Schabas warns, it is not merely a victory for the ICC, but a test to “inspire confidence in its ability to provide a meaningful, significant and above all prompt response to the crisis.”

During Security Council negotiations, there was significant disagreement about whether or not to refer the situation to the ICC at all. The primary source of ambivalence by some states, including India, Brazil, Gabon and Portugal, revolved around whether peace and justice should be sequenced. India argued for a “calibrated approach”. A compromise was reached through a preambular reference in the Security Councils referral to Article 16 of the Rome Statute. Article 16 allows the Security Council to defer ICC investigations for a year. It can do so repeatedly on a yearly basis. Claims for an Article 16 deferral have been voiced consistently in the case of the arrest warrant against Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir. Somewhat ironically, as the Sudan Tribune points out, Gaddafi was among the most staunch critics of the ICC indictment of Bashir and one of the strongest proponents of the arrest warrants’ deferral.

UN Libya ICC

The UN Security Council has referred the situation in Libya to the ICC (Photo: un.org)

As with the 2005 UN Security Council referral of the situation in Darfur to the ICC, this Council’s resolution includes a provision which explicitly removes citizens of non-state parties from the jurisdiction of the Court. Operative paragraph 6 of the Resolution reads that the Council:

Continue reading

Posted in Article 16, International Criminal Court (ICC), Libya, Libya and the ICC, Sudan, UN Security Council, United States | 14 Comments

Sri Lanka and the Best Transitional Justice Joke Ever?

Transitional Justice Sri Lanka

There remains significant doubts amongst the international community as well as Sri Lankas about the prospects of justice (Photo:www.eelanatham.info)

The final stages of the Sri Lankan civil war were particularly brutal. It has been repeatedly alleged that both the Sri Lankan government forces and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) committed war crimes. The International Crisis Group (ICG) concluded that:

“Although both sides committed atrocities throughout the many years of conflict, the scale and nature of violations particularly worsened from January 2009 to the government’s declaration of victory in May. Evidence gathered by the International Crisis Group suggests that these months saw tens of thousands of Tamil civilian men, women, children and the elderly killed, countless more wounded, and hundreds of thousands deprived of adequate food and medical care, resulting in more deaths.”

The ICG argued that an international investigation into potential violations of international human rights and humanitarian law should examine allegations of the intentional shelling of civilians, hospitals and humanitarian operations (Check out ICG’s report here).

Following their declaration of victory, and under significant pressure from the international community, the government of Sri Lanka established the Lessons Learnt and Reconciliation Commission (LLRC), to investigate potential crimes committed between 2002 and 2009 as well as to promote reconciliation. Given previous failed and ineffective efforts to reckon with past atrocities, skepticism towards the truth commission has been palpable even before the Commission started its work. Some also expressed doubt that a government which so handily declared victory could investigate its own potential violations effectively. Robert Templer, the Asia programme director for the ICG maintained that “[t]here is no reason to believe this is any more serious than the previous commissions set up by this government that have simply perpetuated a culture of impunity.” Another observer wondered whether the LLRC “would prop-up national myths, cover up the responsibility of those in power and legitimize a repressive regime.”

Sri Lanka civil war

War crimes were allegedly committed by both sides during the Sri Lankan Civil War (Photo: http://www.uktamilnews.com)

International actors were also skeptical. Wikileaks cables reportedly show that despite the view that “[r]esponsibility for many of the alleged crimes rests with the country’s senior civilian and military leadership, including [Sri Lankan] President Rajapakse,” US officials retain serious doubts that Sri Lanka will hold anyone accountable for violations of human rights during the war.

The LLRC has already encountered problems in practice as well. Numerous human rights groups, including the ICG, Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch, refused to participate in the Commission, calling it flawed and lacking in independence. They argue that the mandate of the LLRC is too restrictive and the Commission is susceptible to government interference. Frustration and skepticism amongst the international community has also been fueled by Sri Lanka’s resistance to allowing international involvement in the process. Further, media coverage has been hampered. In some instances, the BBC has been denied access to cover the Commission’s hearings.

Continue reading

Posted in Asia, Humour, Sri Lanka, Truth and Reconciliation Commissions | 5 Comments

Biting the Hand that Feeds it: Transitional Justice as a Human Right?

International Criminal Court building

The ICC. Can Transitional Justice really be considered a human right? (Photo: Mark Kersten)

There is a lot of confusion around what exactly a human right is, how we, as human beings, have them, where we have them from, and who is obligated to uphold them. Recent years have seen a burgeoning literature and work grappling with these questions. A lot of the contemporary engagement on human rights stems from frustrations over the mis-use and misunderstanding of what constitutes human rights.(If you’re interested check out Conor Gearty’s blog The Rights’ Future and posts on human rights at The Disorder of Things).

To a large extent, at least, the Human Rights Regime has developed from a very particular political project which seeks to universalize standards of humanity. There now appears to be a strong movement that challenges the nature of this political project not in order to undermine human rights but, in many cases, to strengthen them.

Consider that, historically, perhaps the greatest challenge to human rights has been the idea of cultural relativism. Proponents of this view justify their rejection of human rights standards precisely because they are identified with a Western, liberal and universalizing project which privileges the individual over other moral agents, such as the community. Of course, many of these cultural relativists criticize human rights to justify their own abuses of human rights rather than deriving it from any sophisticated understanding on the subject or a defense of a distinct political or ethical persuasion.

One, if not the, major barrier to improving human rights standards during the Cold War was the lack of any enforcement mechanisms. By and large, human rights were in a deep freeze until the Cold War began to thaw. At that time the liberal project, some would call it the liberal cosmopolitan project, reared its head again. By 1998, what had just a decade ago been unthinkable occurred: the international community created an international criminal court that would hold to account those individuals most responsible for human rights violations.  As Marlies Glasius has pointed out, this was the achievement of a burgeoning industry of global civil society actors which sought an institution that could and would intervene on behalf of humanity to protect humanity from human rights violators. Aryeh Neier has described it as “a new era in international human rights protection”.

Of course, this is a very superficial version of a much more complex story.  The point here, which I doubt is controversial, is simply that human rights and Transitional Justice, which includes international, domestic and hybrid criminal courts, have been indelibly linked.

Ruti Teitel

Ruti Teitel suggested recently that we are moving towards recognizing Transitional Justice as a human right (Photo: New York Law School)

This brings me to a comment from Ruti Teitel, a legal scholar and a key figure in the discourse of Transitional Justice. Teitel recently suggested during a discussion on the globalization of international law that Transitional Justice is a human right. She later clarified that she isn’t necessarily an advocate of this view but “this is the direction in which things are going.” Interestingly, the lawyers and legal scholars in the room appeared not to have a problem with this issue. But there is a significant problem with this assertion. Indeed, the claim may even be dangerous.

Take the definition of Transitional Justice, as offered by the International Center for Transitional Justice (ICTJ):

“Transitional justice is a response to systematic or widespread violations of human rights. It seeks recognition for victims and to promote possibilities for peace, reconciliation and democracy. Transitional justice is not a special form of justice but justice adapted to societies transforming themselves after a period of pervasive human rights abuse. In some cases, these transformations happen suddenly; in others, they may take place over many decades.”

Does it make any sense to call Transitional Justice as defined above as a human right? What would that entail?

There’s a secret in the world of Transitional Justice that very few advocates will tell you. It revolves around what states undergoing transitions are supposed to transition to. What is, after all, the end of Transitional Justice? The reality is that the desired end point is not neutral but is politically constructed. The end of Transitional Justice is a liberal, democratic polity. Tellingly, only very recently have scholars begun to treat Transitional Justice as an element of liberal peacebuilding. I am not arguing here that this is a necessarily bad thing. While the idea of liberal peace has come under considerable criticism, there is much to say in support of it. The problem is a suspicious lack of transparency and willingness to admit that what advocates of Transitional Justice are simultaneously promoting is a particular political project. It may be good politics, but it’s still politics.

Empty Courtroom

There is a danger with calling Transitional Justice a human right (Photo: iccnow.org)

Taking all of this into account, advocating Transitional Justice as a human right, then, means something more than, say, the right to justice. It means that by virtue of being human beings, we have the right to live in a particular polity, specifically a liberal democracy. As my friend and colleague Paul Kirby pointed out to me, it also means that there exists an obligation to ensure all humans can enjoy the right to Transitional Justice and a liberal democracy. Doesn’t that sound more like military intervention than human rights?

The problem, in the end, is similar to the broader criticism often levied on the human rights regime. Even those who are sympathetic to the aims these commendable causes become frustrated with the way in which they are promoted or promulgated. In this context, those sympathetic and supportive of Transitional Justice may become so perturbed by the notion of Transitional Justice as a human right that their sympathy or support wanes. That is the danger of intellectual reckless abandon in a field as sensitive as Transitional Justice. Some of the strongest advocates may get ahead of themselves, and in the end bite the hand that feeds them.

Posted in Human Rights, Liberal Peace, Transitional Justice | Leave a comment

Thaci, accused of Human Organ-Trafficking, becomes PM of Kosovo

Thaci Justice

Thaci (far right) with the Kosovo President and Secretary of State Robert Gates (Photo: defenselink.mil)

Hashim Thaci, a man who was linked to charges of corruption and the trafficking of human organs, has been  elected as PM of Kosovo by an overwhelming majority. Thaci was a key political leader for the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) during the war against Serbia in the late 1990s. A report by the Council of Europe suggested that organs were taken from the bodies of prisoners of the KLA in 1999. Thaci has vehemently denied the charges.

It seems unlikely that any judicial proceedings will be taken against Thaci. He was elected by a vote of 65-1 and Kosovo is one of the world’s newest states and is just getting on its feet. There does not appear to be widespread appetite or momentum to bring a legal case against him.

Either way, Thaci clearly won the hearts of some people…

Posted in Balkans, Europe, Humour, Kosovo | Leave a comment

International Criminal Justice Sweeping the Arab World?

Gaddafi international law

Could Libyan Leader Gaddafi find himself facing trial at the International Criminal Court?

“Genocide”, “war crimes”, “crimes against humanity”. All of these words have been invoked to describe recent events in the ever-tumultuous Arab world where popular movements have resulted in mass protests and the toppling of governments. This marks a dramatic shift for a region that has rarely described events through the rhetoric of justice. It has been rare  that these words – and their connection to international criminal law – have been uttered in Arab states, at least when it comes to describing, well, Arab states.

To date, the vast majority of Middle Eastern and North African states have only publicly thrown their support behind the cause of international criminal law (ICL) on an ad hoc and political basis. In practice, this has meant that when Israel was the ‘target’ of criminal law investigations or reports such as the Goldstone Report and investigations into the Gaza Flotilla attack, these states were often the most vociferous proponents of justice. However, when it came to long-term commitments to international justice, very few Middle Eastern and Arab states participated. While, as Steven Roach notes, Arab states played a “largely positive (albeit controversial)” role in the creation of the ICC, to date, amongst them, only Jordan is a member state.

The Arab League has been among the most vocal critics of the arrest warrant against Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir and has openly advocated that Bashir’s warrant be deferred. Over the past few months, justice has been debated in the region as a result of the investigations by the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, with some believing that the Tribunal’s investigations into the 2005 deaths of former Lebanese PM Rafik Hariri and 20 others could destabilize Lebanon and threaten regional peace. Now, however, with unrest spreading like wildfire and so many around the globe watching in solidarity as citizens of Tunisia, Egypt, Bahrain and Libya attempt to topple their autocratic regimes, something has changed. The language of international criminal law, and human rights more broadly, has taken center stage where before it had been relegated to political opportunism.

Given recent events, it is unsurprising to hear comments, like those of Navi Pillay, the UN high commissioner for human rights, who warned that violence in Libya against civilians “amount to crimes against humanity” and called for an international investigation in possible human rights violations. What was surprising was the defections and declarations of Gaddafi’s own government officials. Libyan diplomats at the UN defected and accused Gaddafi of genocide. While it’s more likely that Gaddafi is responsible for crimes against humanity than genocide, the use of the term illustrates the growing application of legal concepts to describe ongoing events.

Libya’s deputy permanent representative to UN, Ibrahim O. Dabbashi, further exclaimed: “We are sure that what is going on now in Libya is crimes against humanity and crimes of war.” He then did something that was unthinkable just weeks ago. Dabbashi said that he believed the International Criminal Court should investigate Gaddafi for crimes against humanity and war crimes. Luis Moreno-Ocampo, the Prosecutor of the ICC has responded that “[t]he decision to do justice in Libya should be taken by the Libyan people” and that either Libya would need to become a state party to the Rome Statute or the situation would have to be referred from the UN Security Council in order for the ICC to investigate. Amnesty  International has suggested this could be an appropriate course of action. Regardless, for proponents of international justice, even the suggestion of joining the ICC indicates a sweeping change in regional attitudes towards international law. And, again, rather than external actors, it is the citizens of these states, indeed government officials of these states, employing the rhetoric of international criminal law.

Calls for justice in Egypt (pictured), Tunisia and Libya (Photo: Guardian)

Will Libya join the ICC? It is too early to tell, especially given that Gaddafi, at least for the time being, remains in power. Perhaps, in due course, the country will draw lessons from Tunisia. The vigour in support of human rights in Tunisia has been unprecedented. Not only has the transitional government, which took power after President Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali was ousted, issued an arrest warrant for Ben Ali (although notably not for international crimes), repealed the death penalty, and declared that it would ratify the International Convention for the Protection of All Persons from Enforced Disappearance and the two optional protocols to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights; it has declared that it would ratify the Rome Statute of the ICC. If it follows through, it will be the first north African state to ratify the Statute.

Continue reading

Posted in Arab League, Egypt, International Criminal Court (ICC), Libya, Middle East, Tunisia | 3 Comments

Sudan’s Bashir to Step Down – But Why?

Sudan Bashir

Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir has announced that he will not run for the Presidency in the next election, four years from now (Photo: http://www.independent.co.uk)

Reports out of Sudan indicate that President Omar al-Bashir will not run for the Presidency of the country in the next elections, set to take place 4 years from now. Bashir, who has been indicted by the ICC for war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide, handily won another five-year mandate last April.

For many, four years from now is almost laughable. Yet, as a gesture, it remains curious. Why would Bashir, perhaps the world’s most wanted man, announce that he was going to resign?

Most of the debate on the subject, however, has considered whether Bashir’s decision has come in reaction to the protests sweeping the Arab world. Just last week a group of students in Khartoum protested against the government and clashed against police. Interestingly, their slogans harkened to protests in the region. Students shouted: “Tunisia, Egypt, Sudan together as one.”

Opposition leaders reacted to Bashir’s decision by declaring that it was the result of popular unrest in the region. Mubarak al-Fadl, the leader of the opposition Umma party declared that “this is very much to do with the tsunami of people power against dictatorship in the area.”

Is this convincing? Not entirely. If the “tsunami” of regional unrest was threatening to the regime in Khartoum, presumably Bashir would step down earlier than four years from now. The government need only look at the case of Egypt to see that, in the face of popular movements, Mubarak’s initial decision to step down in September was not enough and indeed fuelled popular sentiments against him. Further, the student protests in Khartoum that alluded to the unrest in Tunisia and Egypt paled in comparison, with an estimated 100 participants in sharp contrast to the tens of thousands in Tahrir Square.

But what about the fact that Bashir is a man wanted by the International Criminal Court? There are a few interesting things to note here.

Proponents of international criminal justice often argue that issuing an arrest warrant for an individual will isolate or marginalize them. Individuals who have committed human rights violations, the reasoning goes, cannot possibly be interested in peace and so, in the words of Stephen Stedman, they are “spoilers” of peace. Marginalizing spoilers is critical to successfully negotiating and implementing peace. This isolating power of indictments is meant to work at both the domestic and international level.

The isolating effects of the arrest warrant for Bashir has been a mixed bag. There is some evidence that he has been marginalized internationally. This past summer, Marlise Simmons wrote of the diplomatic dance where:

Leaders have maneuvered to stay out of photographs with him, dashed away from an official lunch to avoid sitting next to him and gone as far as canceling an entire international meeting to keep Mr. Bashir at bay.

Further, as Xavier Rauscher points out at The International Jurist, an Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) summit was moved to Ethiopia from Kenya (an ICC state party) because of pressure on Kenya to arrest Bashir.

Chad Bashir

Sudan's President, al-Bashir, defied the arrest warrant against him to visit Chad, a member state of the ICC (Photo: BBC)

At the same time, however, Bashir has been able to visit numerous states on official visits, including ICC member states Chad and Kenya, much to the ire of the ICC and its supporters. Further, if domestic isolation was a goal of the arrest warrants, to date it has been nothing short of an abysmal failure. Despite initial reports suggesting that Bashir might be overthrown, Bashir hasn’t faced anything close to domestic opposition that would ultimately isolate him to the point of being arrested. Additionally, critics have voiced concern that the intention of domestic isolation amounts to regime change through law.

Continue reading

Posted in Egypt, International Criminal Court (ICC), Middle East, Peace Negotiations, Southern Sudan, Sudan, Tunisia, United States | 2 Comments

Welcome to Justice in Conflict!

Karl Marx once exclaimed that “the criminal produces not only crimes, but also criminal law, and with this the professor who gives lectures on criminal law.” Clearly, then, the criminal also produces bloggers.

Welcome to Justice in Conflict! The impetus behind this blog is to provide an engaging, open and stimulating forum where we can discuss and debate the issues, problems and challenges of pursuing justice, especially transitional justice. The name of the blog purposely has a double-meaning; this site will provide a space to consider conflicting conceptions and demands of justice as well as the role and effects of pursuing justice within conflict situations.

The blog is also inspired by my own academic work and professional interest in how societies reckon with past human rights abuses. I am currently a PhD student at the London School of Economics where I study the relationship between peace and justice through two case studies of the International Criminal Court’s investigations in Darfur and northern Uganda. I hope to share the insights and experiences I gain along the way on this blog.

The photo in this post is of defendants from the International Military Tribunal for the Far East, better known as the Tokyo Tribunal. It was set up following WWII to try Japanese perpetrators of crimes against humanity and war crimes. In comparison to the infamous Nuremberg Tribunal where senior Nazi officials were put on trial, the Tokyo Tribunal has escaped sufficient analysis and debate. On this blog I hope to discuss some of the issues surrounding international criminal justice and conflicts that escape the attention they deserve.

While this blog will often explicitly or implicitly deal with legal matters, this is not a law blog. Instead, the focus here will be on the politics of international law and transitional justice and how they relate to the dynamics of violent political conflicts. I hope to touch on ongoing debates about human rights, international criminal law, transitional justice, conflict resolution and peacebuilding.

There is still a lot of work to be done to get this blog up to speed but I hope to produce material regularly in the very near future. I hope you enjoy the blog and thanks for taking the time to read!

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment